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2024-12-13 05:35:04

Japanese and Korean stock markets opened higher, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 1.21% to 39,849.97. South Korea's KOSPI index rose 0.6% to 2,456.63.Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.A special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic of Russia, was attacked by drones. Russian military media said that a special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic, was attacked by Ukrainian drones in the early hours of the 12 th. Up to now, the Ukrainian side has not responded.


CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.China Bank's RMB clearing volume in Australia exceeded 100 trillion yuan. According to Bank of China, recently, Bank of China Sydney Branch and Bank of China Hong Kong jointly held a RMB forum in Sydney to celebrate the 10th anniversary of being an Australian RMB clearing bank. As the only RMB clearing bank in the South Pacific at present, in the past ten years, China Bank has taken root in Australia and South Pacific, continuously expanded its clearing network, cooperated with four local banks and other financial institutions in Australia, and became the main channel for RMB clearing of local important banks, providing RMB clearing volume of more than 100 trillion yuan.Nepal's Everest region will ban commercial helicopter flights to protect the local economy and wildlife. On December 11th, local officials in Nepal said that the local government and other stakeholders have decided to ban commercial helicopter flights in the Everest region from January 1st next year to protect the local economy and wildlife. Mingema Chiri Sherpa, mayor of Khumbasan Lamu, Mount Everest, Nepal, said on the same day that the decision was made because the increase in commercial helicopter flights in Mount Everest in recent years has shortened the stay time of tourists, and helicopter noise has also interfered with wildlife in nearby national parks. Relevant decisions are being sent to helicopter operators, travel agencies and tourism enterprises through letters.


CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party does not recognize the president.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.

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